The Way research packet. Built 2026-10-28. Online version: https://michiinstitute.com/cases/right-to-work.html

The Observatory · Case 60 · Labor and land · 1944 to 2024

Right-to-work laws (United States, 1944 to 2024)

Not yet reviewed by a person. This page was researched and written with the help of AI tools. Every key claim is labeled by evidence status near the end, but no person has checked the sources yet. Treat it as a draft.
No one has verified this page yet. No verifier is recorded.
Sources checked 2026-10-25. Preliminary research, not a final verdict.
In this packet
1. Review status · 2. The article · 3. Sources and their details · 4. Every link used · 5. Revision history · 6. How to cite

1. Review status

Status
Not yet reviewed by a person. This page was researched and written with the help of AI tools. Every key claim is labeled by evidence status near the end, but no person has checked the sources yet. Treat it as a draft.
Verified by
No one has verified this page yet. No verifier is recorded.
Sources checked
2026-10-25
Review history
https://michiinstitute.com/members/reviews.html?case=right-to-work
Packet built
2026-10-28

2. The article

WarningNot yet reviewed by a person. Treat this page as a draft.DetailsHide details

Not yet reviewed by a person. This page was researched and written with the help of AI tools. Every key claim is labeled by evidence status near the end, but no person has checked the sources yet. Treat it as a draft. Review history

Since 1947 federal law has let each state ban contracts that require union membership or fees; 26 states now do, the evidence on wages and union strength is contested, and the Supreme Court's 2018 Janus decision extended a related rule to public workers nationwide.

In brief

In 1947 Congress added Section 14(b) to the federal labor law, allowing each state to ban union-security agreements, meaning contracts that require members or fees as a job condition. Arkansas and Florida adopted such laws in November 1944, and 26 states now have them according to the National Conference of State Legislatures as of December 2023. Michigan adopted one in 2012 and repealed it in 2023, with the repeal taking effect in early 2024. Researchers disagree about the effects. The Economic Policy Institute finds wages about 3 percent lower in right-to-work states after controls, while a 2024 Mackinac Center brief finds about 2 percent higher with state fixed effects, and one labor scholar told the Associated Press, "We don't know causation." In 2018 the Supreme Court ruled 5 to 4 in Janus v. AFSCME that public-sector agency fees violate the First Amendment. What the record shows is a rule that voters in each state could change, and an evidence base that has not settled what the rule does.

The record

The federal rule

First state laws, 1944

Origins: contested interpretation

Count of states

Source Count Notes
NCSL page "updated December 19, 2023," table 26 states Alabama, Arizona, Arkansas, Florida, Georgia, Idaho, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Kentucky, Louisiana, Mississippi, Nebraska, Nevada, North Carolina, North Dakota, Oklahoma, South Carolina, South Dakota, Tennessee, Texas, Utah, Virginia, West Virginia, Wisconsin, Wyoming
Same NCSL page, metadata description "28 states and Guam" Conflicts with the page's own table; likely stale

(NCSL, Right-to-Work Resources; opened.) The same page says Kentucky's HB 1 on January 9, 2017 made it the 27th state and that Michigan's repeal in 2023 is the first in decades, which squares with 26. I did not confirm any change after December 2023, so the count for October 2026 is not independently checked.

Michigan, 2012 and 2023

Janus v. AFSCME (related, public sector)

Studies on wages, jobs and unions: named, both sides

Study or claim Finding Source type
Elise Gould and Will Kimball, Economic Policy Institute (EPI), critique of a Heritage Foundation report Wages in right-to-work states about 3.1 percent lower after controls ($1,558 a year for a typical full-time worker); unadjusted gap 15.8 percent ($20.66 vs $23.93). EPI calls it an association, a "residual correlation" EPI blog; opened. EPI is labor-supported
Elise Gould and Heidi Shierholz, EPI, 2011 (as reported by AP in 2012) About $1,500 less a year, 3.2 percent lower wages, cost-of-living adjusted AP, Jan. 27, 2012; opened (secondary)
Christopher Douglas, Mackinac Center, Oct. 24, 2024 Using 2010 to 2012 Current Population Survey data, wages about 1.9 percent higher in right-to-work states with state fixed effects Mackinac brief; opened. Mackinac is a free-market think tank
Indiana Chamber of Commerce study (via AP) Employment grew 100 percent in right-to-work states from 1977 to 2008 vs 57 percent elsewhere; personal income up 164.4 percent vs 92.8 percent AP; secondary, business group
Ozkan Eren and Serkan Ozbeklik (via AP) For Oklahoma and Idaho, right-to-work likely had no impact on manufacturing employment AP only; I did not open the paper
Gary Chaison, Clark University (via AP) Debate is polarized: "We don't know causation." AP
Barry Hirsch and David Macpherson union data (via AP) In Oklahoma in 2010, 4.7 percent of private-sector workers were covered by contracts but 3.5 percent were dues-paying members AP; I did not open UnionStats.com

What this case shows

  1. Congress handed a national question to the states, so the fight is state by state. Section 14(b) means a voter's state decides whether a union contract can require fees. Michigan shows the rule can be passed, in 2012, and undone, in 2023.
  2. Who was included in the vote is part of the record. The Encyclopedia of Arkansas describes poll-tax receipts bought in bulk and delayed county returns in the 1944 vote. Pierce argues the early campaigns were tied to preserving racial hierarchy. We report this as one account of how the first laws passed, not as proof about any modern law.
  3. The money evidence is split by method. EPI finds about 3 percent lower wages after controls; Mackinac finds about 2 percent higher with state fixed effects. Chaison says causation is unknown. A reader can see the same question answered two ways.
  4. Janus shows a related rule decided by nine judges, not by a vote. The public-sector fee rule changed nationwide in 2018 with no statute and no ballot. Voters could not amend it by state vote.
  5. Both sides name a person or group who pays. Supporters stress workers who object to paying; opponents stress free riders and weaker union funding. The House analysis records both.

The strongest objections, and our answers

  1. Objection: the racist-origins story is used to smear a policy with broad current support. Mitigation: we attribute it to Pierce, note the source is advocacy-oriented, say we found no rebuttal source, and state that origin does not determine effect.
  2. Objection: wages differ because of industry and cost of living, not the law. That is the core dispute between EPI and Mackinac. Mitigation: both findings are shown with their controls, and neither is picked.
  3. Objection: the Michigan repeal shows voters or legislators chose union fees back. Mitigation: SB 34 was passed by the legislature; nothing in the sources shows a statewide ballot vote.
  4. Objection: Janus and right-to-work are conflated. Mitigation: we state they are different legal rules.
  5. Objection: the count is wrong. Mitigation: we show 26 from NCSL's table, the page's own conflicting "28" description, and that the date is December 2023.

Open questions: what would change our minds

Sources

Title Publisher URL Supports Opened?
29 U.S.C. 164 Cornell LII https://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/text/29/164 Section 14(b) text Yes
Right-to-Work Resources NCSL https://www.ncsl.org/labor-and-employment/right-to-work-resources State list, Michigan, Kentucky Yes
Right to Work Law Encyclopedia of Arkansas https://encyclopediaofarkansas.net/entries/Right-to-Work-Law-7621 1944 votes Yes
Vance Muse and the Racist Origins of Right to Work American Constitution Society https://www.acslaw.org/acsblog/vance-muse-and-the-racist-origins-of-right-to-work Origins argument Yes
Janus v. AFSCME, No. 16-1466 Cornell LII https://www.law.cornell.edu/supremecourt/text/16-1466 Holding, vote Yes, partly
House Fiscal Agency analysis, SB 34 Michigan Legislature https://legislature.mi.gov/documents/2023-2024/billanalysis/House/pdf/2023-HLA-0034-03FFBB67.pdf PA 8 of 2023, arguments Yes
Michigan right-to-work effective date SBAM https://www.sbam.org/michigans-right-to-work-law-effective-february-13-2024/ Feb. 13, 2024 Yes
EPI blog on right-to-work wages EPI https://www.epi.org/blog/new-study-confirms-that-right-to-work-laws-are-associated-with-significantly-lower-wages/ 3.1 percent Yes
Mackinac Center study S2024-11 Mackinac Center https://mackinac.org/archives/2024/s2024-11.pdf 1.9 percent higher Yes
After 70 years, right to work impact still unclear AP (Tom LoBianco), 2012 https://www.foxnews.com/us/after-70-years-right-to-work-impact-still-unclear Studies from both sides Yes

Evidence status and correction history

Key claims

Claim Status Source
Section 14(b) lets states ban union-membership requirements Verified (primary source opened) 29 U.S.C. 164
Enacted by the Act of June 23, 1947, 61 Stat. 151 Verified (primary source opened) 29 U.S.C. 164 notes
Arkansas and Florida enacted laws in November 1944 Verified (secondary only) Encyclopedia of Arkansas; ACS
Florida was the first state Disputed (sources disagree, each figure shown): Encyclopedia of Arkansas treats Arkansas and Florida together as first two without ranking Encyclopedia of Arkansas
Arkansas 1944 vote 105,300 to 87,652 Verified (secondary only) Encyclopedia of Arkansas
1944 Arkansas vote had irregularities including bulk poll-tax purchases Verified (secondary only) Encyclopedia of Arkansas
Right-to-work was promoted to preserve Jim Crow labor relations Disputed (sources disagree, each figure shown): Pierce (ACS) argues yes; no opposing source opened ACS
26 states have right-to-work laws Disputed (sources disagree, each figure shown): 26 in NCSL table vs "28 states and Guam" in its description; date Dec. 2023 NCSL
Kentucky was 27th state, HB 1 on Jan. 9, 2017 Verified (secondary only) NCSL
Michigan law passed 2012 Verified (secondary only) NCSL; House analysis
SB 34 signed March 24, 2023, became PA 8 of 2023 Verified (secondary only) NCSL; House analysis
Repeal effective Feb. 13, 2024 Verified (secondary only) SBAM ("likely"); Mackinac says Feb. 2024
Janus decided June 27, 2018, 5 to 4, overruling Abood Verified (primary source opened) Cornell LII
EPI: wages about 3.1 percent lower, $1,558 Verified (secondary only) EPI blog
EPI 2011: 3.2 percent, about $1,500 Verified (secondary only) AP 2012
Mackinac: wages about 1.9 percent higher with state fixed effects Verified (secondary only) Mackinac brief
Indiana Chamber: employment +100 percent vs +57 percent, 1977 to 2008 Verified (secondary only) AP 2012
Eren and Ozbeklik: no effect on manufacturing jobs Verified (secondary only) AP 2012
Oklahoma 2010: 4.7 percent covered, 3.5 percent members Verified (secondary only) AP 2012

Correction history

Date Change Reason
2026-10-25 First publication New case
2026-10-25 No outside draft was available for this case; the NCSL page's own count conflict (26 vs 28) is recorded rather than resolved Nothing to correct from an outside draft

Found an error or a better source? We keep every correction on the record with its date and reason. Nothing here is quietly rewritten.

3. Sources and their details

One entry per source in the page's Sources table. "Checked" is the date the page says its sources were checked. A Wayback link and SHA-256 appear only where a snapshot has been recorded.

1. 29 U.S.C. 164

Publisher
Cornell LII
Date
not stated in the title; see the source
URL
https://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/text/29/164
Supports
Section 14(b) text
Opened by us
Yes
Checked
2026-10-25
Snapshot
No snapshot or SHA-256 recorded in this packet yet.

2. Right-to-Work Resources

Publisher
NCSL
Date
not stated in the title; see the source
URL
https://www.ncsl.org/labor-and-employment/right-to-work-resources
Supports
State list, Michigan, Kentucky
Opened by us
Yes
Checked
2026-10-25
Snapshot
No snapshot or SHA-256 recorded in this packet yet.

3. Right to Work Law

Publisher
Encyclopedia of Arkansas
Date
not stated in the title; see the source
URL
https://encyclopediaofarkansas.net/entries/Right-to-Work-Law-7621
Supports
1944 votes
Opened by us
Yes
Checked
2026-10-25
Snapshot
No snapshot or SHA-256 recorded in this packet yet.

4. Vance Muse and the Racist Origins of Right to Work

Publisher
American Constitution Society
Date
not stated in the title; see the source
URL
https://www.acslaw.org/acsblog/vance-muse-and-the-racist-origins-of-right-to-work
Supports
Origins argument
Opened by us
Yes
Checked
2026-10-25
Snapshot
No snapshot or SHA-256 recorded in this packet yet.

5. Janus v. AFSCME, No. 16-1466

Publisher
Cornell LII
Date
not stated in the title; see the source
URL
https://www.law.cornell.edu/supremecourt/text/16-1466
Supports
Holding, vote
Opened by us
Yes, partly
Checked
2026-10-25
Snapshot
No snapshot or SHA-256 recorded in this packet yet.

6. House Fiscal Agency analysis, SB 34

Publisher
Michigan Legislature
Date
not stated in the title; see the source
URL
https://legislature.mi.gov/documents/2023-2024/billanalysis/House/pdf/2023-HLA-0034-03FFBB67.pdf
Supports
PA 8 of 2023, arguments
Opened by us
Yes
Checked
2026-10-25
Snapshot
No snapshot or SHA-256 recorded in this packet yet.

7. Michigan right-to-work effective date

Publisher
SBAM
Date
not stated in the title; see the source
URL
https://www.sbam.org/michigans-right-to-work-law-effective-february-13-2024/
Supports
Feb. 13, 2024
Opened by us
Yes
Checked
2026-10-25
Snapshot
No snapshot or SHA-256 recorded in this packet yet.

8. EPI blog on right-to-work wages

Publisher
EPI
Date
not stated in the title; see the source
URL
https://www.epi.org/blog/new-study-confirms-that-right-to-work-laws-are-associated-with-significantly-lower-wages/
Supports
3.1 percent
Opened by us
Yes
Checked
2026-10-25
Snapshot
No snapshot or SHA-256 recorded in this packet yet.

9. Mackinac Center study S2024-11

Publisher
Mackinac Center
Date
not stated in the title; see the source
URL
https://mackinac.org/archives/2024/s2024-11.pdf
Supports
1.9 percent higher
Opened by us
Yes
Checked
2026-10-25
Snapshot
No snapshot or SHA-256 recorded in this packet yet.

10. After 70 years, right to work impact still unclear

Publisher
AP (Tom LoBianco), 2012
Date
not stated in the title; see the source
URL
https://www.foxnews.com/us/after-70-years-right-to-work-impact-still-unclear
Supports
Studies from both sides
Opened by us
Yes
Checked
2026-10-25
Snapshot
No snapshot or SHA-256 recorded in this packet yet.

5. Revision history

First published (earliest change on record): 2026-10-25.

Corrections on the page

DateChangeReason
2026-10-25First publicationNew case
2026-10-25No outside draft was available for this case; the NCSL page's own count conflict (26 vs 28) is recorded rather than resolvedNothing to correct from an outside draft

Change log for the page

6. How to cite

The Way (Michi Institute). "Right-to-work laws (United States, 1944 to 2024)." Case 60, The Observatory. Sources checked 2026-10-25. Packet built 2026-10-28. https://michiinstitute.com/cases/right-to-work.html

This is preliminary research. Before relying on a claim, cite and check the primary source it points to. To save as a PDF: use your browser's Print and choose Save as PDF.

Not left. Not right. We are The Way. A nonpartisan research project, not a political party.