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The Observatory · Case 55 · Public programs · 1854 to 2024
Three federal laws (1980, 1997, 2018) set the rules for removing children, time limits and prevention funding; national counts show about 329,000 children in care in 2024 and large racial differences in who is removed.
In 1854 the Children's Aid Society began sending children from New York to families in the Midwest, and by 1929 about 200,000 had gone, with little formal oversight. Federal law came much later. The 1980 Adoption Assistance and Child Welfare Act required "reasonable efforts" to keep families together and set reviews every six months. The 1997 Adoption and Safe Families Act made child safety the "paramount concern" and required states to seek termination of parental rights when a child had been in care 15 of 22 months, with exceptions. The 2018 Family First Act let states spend federal money on services before removal. In 2024, about 329,000 children were in foster care. The rate for Black children was about 8 per 1,000, about twice the White rate, and the rate for American Indian and Alaska Native children was about 15 per 1,000. Researchers dispute whether those gaps come from differing need, bias, or both. The record shows who made the rules and who lived under them were rarely the same people.
Context: the Orphan Trains
Timeline of federal law
| Date | Event | Source |
|---|---|---|
| June 17, 1980 | Adoption Assistance and Child Welfare Act (Public Law 96-272) | GovInfo, 94 Stat. 500 |
| Oct. 1, 1983 | "Reasonable efforts" requirement takes effect | Same |
| Nov. 19, 1997 | Adoption and Safe Families Act (ASFA, Public Law 105-89) signed | GovInfo, 111 Stat. 2115 |
| Feb. 9, 2018 | Family First Prevention Services Act enacted (Public Law 115-123, Division E, Title VII of the Bipartisan Budget Act of 2018) | Child Welfare Information Gateway |
The 1980 law
The 1997 law (ASFA)
The 2018 law (Family First)
National counts (AFCARS, the federal child welfare data system)
| Item | FFY 2022 (preliminary, as of May 9, 2023) | FFY 2024 (preliminary, as of Sept. 5, 2025) |
|---|---|---|
| In foster care on Sept. 30 | 368,530 | 328,947 |
| Entered during year | 186,602 | 170,943 |
| Exited during year | 201,372 | 176,730 |
| Adoptions (exits to adoption) | 53,665 "adopted with public child welfare agency involvement" | 46,935 |
| Waiting for adoption | 108,877 "waiting to be adopted" | 70,421 with an "adoption permanency plan" |
| Reunification | 91,115 (46% of exits) | 79,209 (45% of exits) |
| Median months in care | 15.5 | not read |
Racial disproportionality: documented numbers (FFY 2024, children ages 0 to 17, rates per 1,000 children)
| Group | In care Sept. 30, 2024: share (number), rate | Entering in FFY 2024: share (number), rate |
|---|---|---|
| Black or African American | 25% (81,101), 8.06 | 23% (39,075), 3.88 |
| American Indian/Alaska Native | 3% (8,446), 14.62 | 3% (4,336), 7.29 |
| Hispanic (any race) | 21% (69,931), 3.54 | 20% (34,924), 1.77 |
| White | 40% (132,803), 3.98 | 42% (75,571), 2.14 |
Why children come in: maltreatment data
| Title | Publisher | URL | Supports | Opened? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orphan Trains (1854 to 1929) | VCU Social Welfare History Project | https://socialwelfare.library.vcu.edu/programs/orphan-trains/ | Context | Yes |
| Public Law 96-272, 94 Stat. 500 | GovInfo | https://www.govinfo.gov/content/pkg/STATUTE-94/pdf/STATUTE-94-Pg500.pdf | 1980 law | Yes |
| Public Law 105-89, 111 Stat. 2115 | GovInfo | https://www.govinfo.gov/content/pkg/STATUTE-111/pdf/STATUTE-111-Pg2115.pdf | ASFA | Yes |
| Family First Prevention Services Act, P.L. 115-123 | Child Welfare Information Gateway | https://www.childwelfare.gov/resources/family-first-prevention-services-act-pl-115-123/ | 2018 law | Yes, summary |
| FFY 2024 AFCARS dashboard | Children's Bureau (acf.gov) | https://acf.gov/sites/default/files/documents/cb/2024-afcars-dashboard-printable.pdf | 2024 counts, race table | Yes |
| AFCARS Report 30 (FFY 2022) | Copy hosted by The Center for Children | https://thecenterforchildren.org/assets/Blog-Files/afcars-report-30.pdf | 2022 counts | Yes, race table not used |
| Child Maltreatment 2022 | Children's Bureau, copy on Better Care Network | https://bettercarenetwork.org/sites/default/files/2024-05/cm2022.pdf | Investigations, victims | Yes |
| One third of US children investigated by 18 | Washington University | https://source.washu.edu/2016/12/one-third-us-children-reported-investigated-child-abuse-neglect-age-18/ | 37%, 53% | Yes |
| Disproportionate need (Drake et al., 2021) | WashU profile | https://profiles.wustl.edu/en/publications/disproportionate-need-as-a-factor-explaining-racial-disproportion/ | Poverty argument | Yes, abstract |
| Child Welfare Practice to Address Racial Disproportionality | Child Welfare Information Gateway | https://api.childwelfare.gov/resources/child-welfare-practice-address-racial-disproportionality-and-disparity | Topic overview; no figures in the text we read | Yes, no data |
Key claims
| Claim | Status | Source |
|---|---|---|
| P.L. 96-272 dated June 17, 1980; reasonable efforts effective Oct. 1, 1983; review every six months; hearing within 18 months | Verified (primary source opened) | GovInfo, 94 Stat. 500 |
| ASFA signed Nov. 19, 1997 | Verified (primary source opened) | GovInfo, 111 Stat. 2115 |
| ASFA: 15 of 22 months termination petition, with exceptions | Verified (primary source opened) | GovInfo, 111 Stat. 2115 |
| ASFA incentive: $4,000 and $2,000 per adoption above base; $20 million per year for FY1999 to 2003 | Verified (primary source opened) | GovInfo, 111 Stat. 2115 |
| Family First enacted Feb. 9, 2018 as Division E, Title VII of the Bipartisan Budget Act of 2018 | Verified (secondary only) | Child Welfare Information Gateway |
| Family First: two-week limit on group care payments, with exceptions | Verified (secondary only) | Child Welfare Information Gateway |
| 328,947 children in care Sept. 30, 2024 (preliminary) | Verified (primary source opened) | AFCARS dashboard |
| 170,943 entered and 176,730 exited in FFY 2024 | Verified (primary source opened) | AFCARS dashboard |
| 46,935 adoptions and 79,209 reunifications (45% of exits) in FFY 2024 | Verified (primary source opened) | AFCARS dashboard |
| 368,530 in care Sept. 30, 2022; 186,602 entered; 201,372 exited | Verified (secondary only) | Third-party copy of the federal report |
| FFY 2022 median stay 15.5 months | Verified (secondary only) | Third-party copy of the federal report |
| FFY 2022 race and ethnicity shares | Unverified (not confirmed) | Table columns did not line up on our read; not used |
| Rate per 1,000 in care: Black 8.06, AI/AN 14.62, Hispanic 3.54, White 3.98 | Verified (primary source opened) | AFCARS dashboard |
| Ratio of Black to White rate about 2.0; AI/AN to White about 3.7 | Verified (primary source opened) | Our arithmetic from the dashboard rates |
| 37% of children, 53% of Black children, investigated by age 18 (2003 to 2014 data) | Verified (secondary only) | WashU report on the study |
| Poverty largely explains the reporting gap for Black children | Disputed (sources disagree, each figure shown) | Drake et al. (abstract) versus other researchers; the opposing study was not opened |
| 558,899 victims in 2022 (7.7 per 1,000); 74.3% neglect | Verified (primary source opened) | Child Maltreatment 2022 |
| Orphan Trains moved about 200,000 children (or "a quarter million") between 1854 and 1929 | Disputed (sources disagree, each figure shown) | VCU page gives both figures, unreconciled |
Correction history
| Date | Change | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-25 | First publication | New case |
| 2026-10-25 | No outside research file existed for this case; no outside claims to correct | Case built from primary sources |
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First published (earliest change on record): 2026-10-25.
| Date | Change | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-25 | First publication | New case |
| 2026-10-25 | No outside research file existed for this case; no outside claims to correct | Case built from primary sources |
The Way (Michi Institute). "Foster care and child welfare law (United States, 1854 to 2024)." Case 55, The Observatory. Sources checked 2026-10-25. Packet built 2026-10-28. https://michiinstitute.com/cases/foster-care.html
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