The Way research packet. Built 2026-10-28. Online version: https://michiinstitute.com/cases/foster-care.html

The Observatory · Case 55 · Public programs · 1854 to 2024

Foster care and child welfare law (United States, 1854 to 2024)

Not yet reviewed by a person. This page was researched and written with the help of AI tools. Every key claim is labeled by evidence status near the end, but no person has checked the sources yet. Treat it as a draft.
No one has verified this page yet. No verifier is recorded.
Sources checked 2026-10-25. Preliminary research, not a final verdict.
In this packet
1. Review status · 2. The article · 3. Sources and their details · 4. Every link used · 5. Revision history · 6. How to cite

1. Review status

Status
Not yet reviewed by a person. This page was researched and written with the help of AI tools. Every key claim is labeled by evidence status near the end, but no person has checked the sources yet. Treat it as a draft.
Verified by
No one has verified this page yet. No verifier is recorded.
Sources checked
2026-10-25
Review history
https://michiinstitute.com/members/reviews.html?case=foster-care
Packet built
2026-10-28

2. The article

Three federal laws (1980, 1997, 2018) set the rules for removing children, time limits and prevention funding; national counts show about 329,000 children in care in 2024 and large racial differences in who is removed.

In brief

In 1854 the Children's Aid Society began sending children from New York to families in the Midwest, and by 1929 about 200,000 had gone, with little formal oversight. Federal law came much later. The 1980 Adoption Assistance and Child Welfare Act required "reasonable efforts" to keep families together and set reviews every six months. The 1997 Adoption and Safe Families Act made child safety the "paramount concern" and required states to seek termination of parental rights when a child had been in care 15 of 22 months, with exceptions. The 2018 Family First Act let states spend federal money on services before removal. In 2024, about 329,000 children were in foster care. The rate for Black children was about 8 per 1,000, about twice the White rate, and the rate for American Indian and Alaska Native children was about 15 per 1,000. Researchers dispute whether those gaps come from differing need, bias, or both. The record shows who made the rules and who lived under them were rarely the same people.

The record

Context: the Orphan Trains

Timeline of federal law

Date Event Source
June 17, 1980 Adoption Assistance and Child Welfare Act (Public Law 96-272) GovInfo, 94 Stat. 500
Oct. 1, 1983 "Reasonable efforts" requirement takes effect Same
Nov. 19, 1997 Adoption and Safe Families Act (ASFA, Public Law 105-89) signed GovInfo, 111 Stat. 2115
Feb. 9, 2018 Family First Prevention Services Act enacted (Public Law 115-123, Division E, Title VII of the Bipartisan Budget Act of 2018) Child Welfare Information Gateway

The 1980 law

The 1997 law (ASFA)

The 2018 law (Family First)

National counts (AFCARS, the federal child welfare data system)

Item FFY 2022 (preliminary, as of May 9, 2023) FFY 2024 (preliminary, as of Sept. 5, 2025)
In foster care on Sept. 30 368,530 328,947
Entered during year 186,602 170,943
Exited during year 201,372 176,730
Adoptions (exits to adoption) 53,665 "adopted with public child welfare agency involvement" 46,935
Waiting for adoption 108,877 "waiting to be adopted" 70,421 with an "adoption permanency plan"
Reunification 91,115 (46% of exits) 79,209 (45% of exits)
Median months in care 15.5 not read

Racial disproportionality: documented numbers (FFY 2024, children ages 0 to 17, rates per 1,000 children)

Group In care Sept. 30, 2024: share (number), rate Entering in FFY 2024: share (number), rate
Black or African American 25% (81,101), 8.06 23% (39,075), 3.88
American Indian/Alaska Native 3% (8,446), 14.62 3% (4,336), 7.29
Hispanic (any race) 21% (69,931), 3.54 20% (34,924), 1.77
White 40% (132,803), 3.98 42% (75,571), 2.14

Why children come in: maltreatment data

What this case shows

  1. Federal law set the clock; families usually met it in a courtroom. ASFA's 15 of 22 months rule and its adoption payments were public policy that voters could debate. Parents involved had short notice of what the clock meant, and the law lists exceptions that decide who is spared. (GovInfo, 111 Stat. 2115)
  2. The same law promised both services and speed. The 1980 law required reasonable efforts to keep families together; the 1997 law kept that duty but gave exceptions and added a termination deadline. We found no opened source measuring whether services were delivered. (GovInfo, 94 Stat. 500; 111 Stat. 2115)
  3. The numbers show unequal exposure. In FFY 2024 the removal-and-care rate for Black children was about twice the White rate, and for American Indian/Alaska Native children about 3.7 times. Whether this reflects differences in need, in reporting, or in decisions is argued. (AFCARS dashboard; Drake et al.)
  4. Prevention was a later and optional fix. Family First (2018) gave states the option to fund services before removal, and limited group-care payments. States chose whether and when to use it. (Child Welfare Information Gateway)
  5. The children are the people with the least say. The Orphan Trains and today's system both moved children by adult decision. The 19th-century record shows weak oversight; the modern record shows court review but heavy dependence on caseworker and court judgment. (VCU; 1980 Act)

The strongest objections, and our answers

  1. Objection: ASFA protected children who were stuck in care. The law makes safety the "paramount concern" and supporters point to children waiting in care (we opened no source documenting this for 1997). Mitigation: We state the text. The median stay was 15.5 months in FFY 2022, and 46% of exits were to reunification. We do not say the time limit was good or bad.
  2. Objection: Removal is a response to real abuse, not bias. 558,899 children were confirmed victims in 2022 and 74.3% of victims suffered neglect. Mitigation: We show that data. Neglect is a legal category that the report does not separate from poverty; we leave that question open.
  3. Objection: Racial gaps are poverty gaps. Drake and coauthors say so. Mitigation: We include their finding. We also show the gap in rates and the 53% investigation figure for Black children. We draw no conclusion about intent.
  4. Objection: Federal money for prevention is a rule, not a result. Mitigation: Agreed. We report enactment and design, not measured effect, because we opened no evaluation.
  5. Objection: The Orphan Trains are not relevant. Mitigation: We use them only as context; the VCU page calls them a precursor, and we do not link them to current outcomes.

Open questions: what would change our minds

Sources

Title Publisher URL Supports Opened?
Orphan Trains (1854 to 1929) VCU Social Welfare History Project https://socialwelfare.library.vcu.edu/programs/orphan-trains/ Context Yes
Public Law 96-272, 94 Stat. 500 GovInfo https://www.govinfo.gov/content/pkg/STATUTE-94/pdf/STATUTE-94-Pg500.pdf 1980 law Yes
Public Law 105-89, 111 Stat. 2115 GovInfo https://www.govinfo.gov/content/pkg/STATUTE-111/pdf/STATUTE-111-Pg2115.pdf ASFA Yes
Family First Prevention Services Act, P.L. 115-123 Child Welfare Information Gateway https://www.childwelfare.gov/resources/family-first-prevention-services-act-pl-115-123/ 2018 law Yes, summary
FFY 2024 AFCARS dashboard Children's Bureau (acf.gov) https://acf.gov/sites/default/files/documents/cb/2024-afcars-dashboard-printable.pdf 2024 counts, race table Yes
AFCARS Report 30 (FFY 2022) Copy hosted by The Center for Children https://thecenterforchildren.org/assets/Blog-Files/afcars-report-30.pdf 2022 counts Yes, race table not used
Child Maltreatment 2022 Children's Bureau, copy on Better Care Network https://bettercarenetwork.org/sites/default/files/2024-05/cm2022.pdf Investigations, victims Yes
One third of US children investigated by 18 Washington University https://source.washu.edu/2016/12/one-third-us-children-reported-investigated-child-abuse-neglect-age-18/ 37%, 53% Yes
Disproportionate need (Drake et al., 2021) WashU profile https://profiles.wustl.edu/en/publications/disproportionate-need-as-a-factor-explaining-racial-disproportion/ Poverty argument Yes, abstract
Child Welfare Practice to Address Racial Disproportionality Child Welfare Information Gateway https://api.childwelfare.gov/resources/child-welfare-practice-address-racial-disproportionality-and-disparity Topic overview; no figures in the text we read Yes, no data

Evidence status and correction history

Key claims

Claim Status Source
P.L. 96-272 dated June 17, 1980; reasonable efforts effective Oct. 1, 1983; review every six months; hearing within 18 months Verified (primary source opened) GovInfo, 94 Stat. 500
ASFA signed Nov. 19, 1997 Verified (primary source opened) GovInfo, 111 Stat. 2115
ASFA: 15 of 22 months termination petition, with exceptions Verified (primary source opened) GovInfo, 111 Stat. 2115
ASFA incentive: $4,000 and $2,000 per adoption above base; $20 million per year for FY1999 to 2003 Verified (primary source opened) GovInfo, 111 Stat. 2115
Family First enacted Feb. 9, 2018 as Division E, Title VII of the Bipartisan Budget Act of 2018 Verified (secondary only) Child Welfare Information Gateway
Family First: two-week limit on group care payments, with exceptions Verified (secondary only) Child Welfare Information Gateway
328,947 children in care Sept. 30, 2024 (preliminary) Verified (primary source opened) AFCARS dashboard
170,943 entered and 176,730 exited in FFY 2024 Verified (primary source opened) AFCARS dashboard
46,935 adoptions and 79,209 reunifications (45% of exits) in FFY 2024 Verified (primary source opened) AFCARS dashboard
368,530 in care Sept. 30, 2022; 186,602 entered; 201,372 exited Verified (secondary only) Third-party copy of the federal report
FFY 2022 median stay 15.5 months Verified (secondary only) Third-party copy of the federal report
FFY 2022 race and ethnicity shares Unverified (not confirmed) Table columns did not line up on our read; not used
Rate per 1,000 in care: Black 8.06, AI/AN 14.62, Hispanic 3.54, White 3.98 Verified (primary source opened) AFCARS dashboard
Ratio of Black to White rate about 2.0; AI/AN to White about 3.7 Verified (primary source opened) Our arithmetic from the dashboard rates
37% of children, 53% of Black children, investigated by age 18 (2003 to 2014 data) Verified (secondary only) WashU report on the study
Poverty largely explains the reporting gap for Black children Disputed (sources disagree, each figure shown) Drake et al. (abstract) versus other researchers; the opposing study was not opened
558,899 victims in 2022 (7.7 per 1,000); 74.3% neglect Verified (primary source opened) Child Maltreatment 2022
Orphan Trains moved about 200,000 children (or "a quarter million") between 1854 and 1929 Disputed (sources disagree, each figure shown) VCU page gives both figures, unreconciled

Correction history

Date Change Reason
2026-10-25 First publication New case
2026-10-25 No outside research file existed for this case; no outside claims to correct Case built from primary sources

Found an error or a better source? We keep every correction on the record with its date and reason. Nothing here is quietly rewritten.

3. Sources and their details

One entry per source in the page's Sources table. "Checked" is the date the page says its sources were checked. A Wayback link and SHA-256 appear only where a snapshot has been recorded.

1. Orphan Trains (1854 to 1929)

Publisher
VCU Social Welfare History Project
Date
1854
URL
https://socialwelfare.library.vcu.edu/programs/orphan-trains/
Supports
Context
Opened by us
Yes
Checked
2026-10-25
Snapshot
No snapshot or SHA-256 recorded in this packet yet.

2. Public Law 96-272, 94 Stat. 500

Publisher
GovInfo
Date
not stated in the title; see the source
URL
https://www.govinfo.gov/content/pkg/STATUTE-94/pdf/STATUTE-94-Pg500.pdf
Supports
1980 law
Opened by us
Yes
Checked
2026-10-25
Snapshot
No snapshot or SHA-256 recorded in this packet yet.

3. Public Law 105-89, 111 Stat. 2115

Publisher
GovInfo
Date
not stated in the title; see the source
URL
https://www.govinfo.gov/content/pkg/STATUTE-111/pdf/STATUTE-111-Pg2115.pdf
Supports
ASFA
Opened by us
Yes
Checked
2026-10-25
Snapshot
No snapshot or SHA-256 recorded in this packet yet.

4. Family First Prevention Services Act, P.L. 115-123

Publisher
Child Welfare Information Gateway
Date
not stated in the title; see the source
URL
https://www.childwelfare.gov/resources/family-first-prevention-services-act-pl-115-123/
Supports
2018 law
Opened by us
Yes, summary
Checked
2026-10-25
Snapshot
No snapshot or SHA-256 recorded in this packet yet.

5. FFY 2024 AFCARS dashboard

Publisher
Children's Bureau (acf.gov)
Date
2024
URL
https://acf.gov/sites/default/files/documents/cb/2024-afcars-dashboard-printable.pdf
Supports
2024 counts, race table
Opened by us
Yes
Checked
2026-10-25
Snapshot
No snapshot or SHA-256 recorded in this packet yet.

6. AFCARS Report 30 (FFY 2022)

Publisher
Copy hosted by The Center for Children
Date
2022
URL
https://thecenterforchildren.org/assets/Blog-Files/afcars-report-30.pdf
Supports
2022 counts
Opened by us
Yes, race table not used
Checked
2026-10-25
Snapshot
No snapshot or SHA-256 recorded in this packet yet.

7. Child Maltreatment 2022

Publisher
Children's Bureau, copy on Better Care Network
Date
2022
URL
https://bettercarenetwork.org/sites/default/files/2024-05/cm2022.pdf
Supports
Investigations, victims
Opened by us
Yes
Checked
2026-10-25
Snapshot
No snapshot or SHA-256 recorded in this packet yet.

8. One third of US children investigated by 18

Publisher
Washington University
Date
not stated in the title; see the source
URL
https://source.washu.edu/2016/12/one-third-us-children-reported-investigated-child-abuse-neglect-age-18/
Supports
37%, 53%
Opened by us
Yes
Checked
2026-10-25
Snapshot
No snapshot or SHA-256 recorded in this packet yet.

9. Disproportionate need (Drake et al., 2021)

Publisher
WashU profile
Date
2021
URL
https://profiles.wustl.edu/en/publications/disproportionate-need-as-a-factor-explaining-racial-disproportion/
Supports
Poverty argument
Opened by us
Yes, abstract
Checked
2026-10-25
Snapshot
No snapshot or SHA-256 recorded in this packet yet.

10. Child Welfare Practice to Address Racial Disproportionality

Publisher
Child Welfare Information Gateway
Date
not stated in the title; see the source
URL
https://api.childwelfare.gov/resources/child-welfare-practice-address-racial-disproportionality-and-disparity
Supports
Topic overview; no figures in the text we read
Opened by us
Yes, no data
Checked
2026-10-25
Snapshot
No snapshot or SHA-256 recorded in this packet yet.

5. Revision history

First published (earliest change on record): 2026-10-25.

Corrections on the page

DateChangeReason
2026-10-25First publicationNew case
2026-10-25No outside research file existed for this case; no outside claims to correctCase built from primary sources

Change log for the page

6. How to cite

The Way (Michi Institute). "Foster care and child welfare law (United States, 1854 to 2024)." Case 55, The Observatory. Sources checked 2026-10-25. Packet built 2026-10-28. https://michiinstitute.com/cases/foster-care.html

This is preliminary research. Before relying on a claim, cite and check the primary source it points to. To save as a PDF: use your browser's Print and choose Save as PDF.

Not left. Not right. We are The Way. A nonpartisan research project, not a political party.